Afghanistan’s historic win over Australia has created various scenarios for Group 1, where all four teams—India, Australia, Afghanistan, and Bangladesh—have a chance at the two semifinal spots.
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India
India’s unbeaten tournament run and win over Bangladesh have positioned them strongly in Group 1, with an NRR of 2.425. Even a loss to Australia in the final match could still see them advance as group winners. The only scenario where India could be eliminated is if they lose to Australia by a significant margin that drops their NRR below Afghanistan’s, assuming Afghanistan wins.
In a three-way tie, Australia must defeat India by 41 or more runs, and Afghanistan must beat Bangladesh by 83 runs for India to be eliminated.
Bangladesh
Afghanistan’s victory keeps Bangladesh’s slim hopes alive in the tournament. Bangladesh needs a miracle to qualify with a -2.489 Net Run Rate (NRR). They must defeat Afghanistan by a large margin and hope India beats Australia decisively.
This scenario would result in a three-way tie where NRR decides the semifinalists. If Australia loses to India by 55 runs, Bangladesh must win by 31 or more runs to advance alongside India, assuming a first-innings score of 160 runs.
Australia | Afghanistan
Australia and Afghanistan each have a win and a loss as they head into their final group matches. Australia currently has a better Net Run Rate (NRR) despite a setback against Afghanistan. To qualify, Australia must beat India and hope Afghanistan loses to Bangladesh or doesn’t win by a large margin. If Australia loses to India, they will be eliminated if Afghanistan wins.
Afghanistan’s win over Australia has revived their semifinal hopes. To qualify, they must beat Bangladesh and hope India defeats Australia. Alternatively, if Australia beats India by 1 run, Afghanistan must defeat Bangladesh by at least 36 runs (assuming a first-innings score of 160) to surpass Australia’s NRR.
Points Table- Current Standings
| Teams | Matches | Won | Lost | Points | NRR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| India | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2.425 |
| Australia | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0.223 |
| Afghanistan | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -0.65 |
| Bangladesh | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2.489 |
Last Updated on June 23, 2024
